Jason Rennie's 2004 College Football Rankings

Bowl Games

Home Field Bias: 0.2695

RankTeamRatingRecordSOSDivision
1Oklahoma7.593712-04.4842NCAA Division I-A
2Southern Cal7.431012-04.6156NCAA Division I-A
3Auburn6.926912-04.1351NCAA Division I-A
4California6.394310-14.5155NCAA Division I-A
5Utah6.348311-04.1126NCAA Division I-A
6Texas6.336210-14.6801NCAA Division I-A
7Virginia Tech6.173210-24.2217NCAA Division I-A
8Boise St6.170311-03.8462NCAA Division I-A
9Georgia5.68039-24.3624NCAA Division I-A
10Tennessee5.66849-34.4472NCAA Division I-A
11Louisville5.646410-13.8306NCAA Division I-A
12Texas A&M5.62787-45.0955NCAA Division I-A
13Miami FL5.61848-34.8396NCAA Division I-A
14LSU5.60449-24.3246NCAA Division I-A
15Arizona St5.51248-34.9526NCAA Division I-A
16Virginia5.28528-34.5534NCAA Division I-A
17Florida St5.27618-34.5798NCAA Division I-A
18North Carolina5.14446-55.1079NCAA Division I-A
19Oklahoma St5.14327-44.7660NCAA Division I-A
20Oregon St5.13496-55.0621NCAA Division I-A
21Iowa5.11459-24.1324NCAA Division I-A
22Texas Tech5.03827-44.7364NCAA Division I-A
23Wisconsin5.03659-23.6092NCAA Division I-A
24Georgia Tech4.96996-54.5276NCAA Division I-A
25UTEP4.91058-33.7891NCAA Division I-A
26Michigan4.87699-23.9785NCAA Division I-A
27Colorado4.86857-54.7597NCAA Division I-A
28William & Mary4.839711-22.8157NCAA Division I-AA
29New Mexico4.77737-44.2956NCAA Division I-A
30Florida4.73727-44.0471NCAA Division I-A
31West Virginia4.71178-33.7934NCAA Division I-A
32Clemson4.69486-54.6257NCAA Division I-A
33Ohio State4.53887-44.1250NCAA Division I-A
34Purdue4.52017-43.8949NCAA Division I-A
35Pittsburgh4.49438-33.7266NCAA Division I-A
36Iowa St4.47356-54.1973NCAA Division I-A
37Syracuse4.46276-54.0541NCAA Division I-A
38UCLA4.44366-54.6460NCAA Division I-A
39South Carolina4.41886-54.1577NCAA Division I-A
40Notre Dame4.41886-54.5936NCAA Division I-A
41Oregon4.40705-64.5863NCAA Division I-A
42Washington St4.38205-64.6158NCAA Division I-A
43North Carolina St4.36835-64.5624NCAA Division I-A
44James Madison4.355112-22.7603NCAA Division I-AA
45Boston College4.34378-33.6839NCAA Division I-A
46Arkansas4.33085-64.7400NCAA Division I-A
47Memphis4.31778-33.5480NCAA Division I-A
48Brigham Young4.29765-64.6660NCAA Division I-A
49Northwestern4.27326-64.1639NCAA Division I-A
50Maryland4.26345-64.5172NCAA Division I-A
51Fresno St4.26178-33.7179NCAA Division I-A
52New Hampshire4.192110-32.9953NCAA Division I-AA
53North Texas4.19037-43.9409NCAA Division I-A
54Navy4.18459-23.4483NCAA Division I-A
55Connecticut4.17447-43.5121NCAA Division I-A
56Louisiana Tech4.16646-64.4709NCAA Division I-A
57Cincinnati4.14576-54.0069NCAA Division I-A
58Alabama-Birmingham4.14257-43.7768NCAA Division I-A
59Delaware4.13589-43.5460NCAA Division I-AA
60Minnesota4.12096-53.7884NCAA Division I-A
61Florida Atlantic4.11599-32.7318NCAA Division I-AA
62Wake Forest4.09794-74.2472NCAA Division I-A
63Harvard4.090710-01.4924NCAA Division I-AA
64Stanford4.08524-74.7399NCAA Division I-A
65Troy St4.08407-43.7943NCAA Division I-A
66Wyoming4.08096-54.0745NCAA Division I-A
67Southern Miss4.05246-54.0241NCAA Division I-A
68Nebraska4.02515-64.3183NCAA Division I-A
69Alabama4.01276-54.1185NCAA Division I-A
70Kansas4.00454-74.6687NCAA Division I-A
71New Mexico St3.95525-64.1086NCAA Division I-A
72Hawai`i3.93407-53.9162NCAA Division I-A
73Arizona3.90253-84.9011NCAA Division I-A
74Missouri3.87655-64.0179NCAA Division I-A
75Montana3.847612-32.7476NCAA Division I-AA
76Kansas St3.83784-74.5622NCAA Division I-A
77TCU3.82935-63.9808NCAA Division I-A
78Toledo3.79109-32.5420NCAA Division I-A
79Air Force3.72985-64.2314NCAA Division I-A
80UL-Monroe3.69805-63.8628NCAA Division I-A
81Mississippi3.68094-74.3949NCAA Division I-A
82San Diego St3.64164-74.0247NCAA Division I-A
83Baylor3.63503-84.8213NCAA Division I-A
84Colorado St3.62574-74.4439NCAA Division I-A
85Middle Tenn St3.61535-63.7117NCAA Division I-A
86Penn St3.61504-73.7335NCAA Division I-A
87Michigan St3.61105-73.8642NCAA Division I-A
88Duke3.56342-94.5037NCAA Division I-A
89Northern Illinois3.54978-32.2901NCAA Division I-A
90Miami OH3.54588-42.4234NCAA Division I-A
91Rutgers3.52754-73.7972NCAA Division I-A
92Sam Houston St3.525711-32.3137NCAA Division I-AA
93Massachusetts3.49316-53.0534NCAA Division I-AA
94Bowling Green3.47448-32.4507NCAA Division I-A
95South Florida3.46634-73.8392NCAA Division I-A
96Houston3.41263-84.3482NCAA Division I-A
97Utah St3.39303-84.0064NCAA Division I-A
98Tulane3.38335-63.6149NCAA Division I-A
99Villanova3.32696-53.1293NCAA Division I-AA
100SMU3.29043-84.1646NCAA Division I-A
101UL-Lafayette3.27884-73.5479NCAA Division I-A
102Maine3.27575-63.2004NCAA Division I-AA
103Arkansas St3.26013-83.9030NCAA Division I-A
104Cal Poly SLO3.25069-22.2304NCAA Division I-AA
105Tulsa3.24214-83.9182NCAA Division I-A
106Eastern Washington3.23989-42.5950NCAA Division I-AA
107Idaho3.19413-93.8223NCAA Division I-A
108Illinois3.18983-83.6357NCAA Division I-A
109Northeastern3.18595-62.9806NCAA Division I-AA
110Nevada3.17655-73.3760NCAA Division I-A
111Rice3.17253-83.9650NCAA Division I-A
112Western Kentucky3.13609-32.0635NCAA Division I-AA
113East Carolina3.13542-94.0491NCAA Division I-A
114Mississippi St3.08893-84.1340NCAA Division I-A
115Southern Illinois3.083310-21.6334NCAA Division I-AA
116Marshall3.02506-52.6540NCAA Division I-A
117UNLV3.01732-94.3432NCAA Division I-A
118Washington3.01701-104.6874NCAA Division I-A
119Temple2.99862-93.9586NCAA Division I-A
120Furman2.985310-31.9602NCAA Division I-AA
121Army2.93802-93.9318NCAA Division I-A
122Georgia Southern2.92559-32.0145NCAA Division I-AA
123Akron2.92236-52.5384NCAA Division I-A
124Northwestern St2.92138-41.7639NCAA Division I-AA
125Hofstra2.91935-62.7517NCAA Division I-AA
126Pennsylvania2.82768-21.6637NCAA Division I-AA
127Indiana2.78923-83.7370NCAA Division I-A
128North Dakota St2.75458-31.8310NCAA Division I-AA
129Kentucky2.74552-94.3166NCAA Division I-A
130San Josť St2.69992-93.6149NCAA Division I-A
131Lafayette2.69408-41.4438NCAA Division I-AA
132Vanderbilt2.63442-94.0908NCAA Division I-A
133Texas St-San Marcos2.58745-62.3547NCAA Division I-AA
134Montana St2.56936-52.3824NCAA Division I-AA
135Lehigh2.54939-31.3981NCAA Division I-AA
136Portland St2.52117-42.1851NCAA Division I-AA
137Northern Iowa2.48747-42.2710NCAA Division I-AA
138Appalachian St2.37466-52.1310NCAA Division I-AA
139Stephen F. Austin2.34616-52.2756NCAA Division I-AA
140Rhode Island2.31764-72.8132NCAA Division I-AA
141Southern Utah2.29846-52.1046NCAA Division I-AA
142Richmond2.27443-83.0436NCAA Division I-AA
143South Dakota St2.24506-51.9595NCAA Division I-AA
144UC-Davis2.22316-42.0846NCAA Division I-AA
145Jacksonville St2.20329-21.1070NCAA Division I-AA
146Nicholls St2.17785-51.8438NCAA Division I-AA
147SW Missouri St2.16516-51.8708NCAA Division I-AA
148Colgate2.14537-41.3704NCAA Division I-AA
149Florida Int'l2.10453-72.8011NCAA Division I-AA
150Wofford2.04988-31.0761NCAA Division I-AA
151Brown2.01666-41.4679NCAA Division I-AA
152Hampton2.014310-20.8703NCAA Division I-AA
153Bucknell1.99307-41.3721NCAA Division I-AA
154Kent St1.96145-62.2769NCAA Division I-A
155McNeese St1.91934-72.2740NCAA Division I-AA
156Idaho St1.89723-82.5128NCAA Division I-AA
157Coastal Carolina1.881110-1-0.7718NCAA Division I-AA
158Ohio U.1.87884-72.2906NCAA Division I-A
159Northern Arizona1.80514-72.2344NCAA Division I-AA
160Sacramento St1.79763-82.5548NCAA Division I-AA
161Princeton1.77015-51.7214NCAA Division I-AA
162SE Louisiana1.75537-40.7825NCAA Division I-AA
163Towson1.75133-82.8286NCAA Division I-AA
164Illinois St1.74994-72.1996NCAA Division I-AA
165Yale1.69035-51.6713NCAA Division I-AA
166Eastern Kentucky1.66256-51.4639NCAA Division I-AA
167Western Illinois1.62664-71.5988NCAA Division I-AA
168Youngstown St1.62014-72.0316NCAA Division I-AA
169Indiana St1.57984-71.9960NCAA Division I-AA
170Cornell1.56034-61.7630NCAA Division I-AA
171Murray St1.50547-41.2520NCAA Division I-AA
172Eastern Michigan1.45534-72.2665NCAA Division I-A
173Liberty1.45026-51.1070NCAA Division I-AA
174Northern Colorado1.39492-92.8354NCAA Division I-AA
175Western Carolina1.39334-71.7248NCAA Division I-AA
176South Carolina St1.37419-20.5316NCAA Division I-AA
177Gardner-Webb1.31505-61.2069NCAA Division I-AA
178Alabama St1.291210-2-0.0179NCAA Division I-AA
179The Citadel1.27713-72.3849NCAA Division I-AA
180Weber St1.27471-102.7149NCAA Division I-AA
181Central Michigan1.20924-72.1097NCAA Division I-A
182Eastern Illinois1.17585-61.2027NCAA Division I-AA
183Southern U.1.15668-4-0.0758NCAA Division I-AA
184Drake1.125010-2-0.6666NCAA Division I-AA
185Buffalo1.11822-92.5100NCAA Division I-A
186Tennessee Tech1.11016-51.0714NCAA Division I-AA
187Bethune-Cookman1.07306-40.5492NCAA Division I-AA
188Fordham1.04885-61.1532NCAA Division I-AA
189Florida A&M1.01583-82.2056NCAA Division I-AA
190Monmouth NJ1.013410-1-1.2557NCAA Division I-AA
191Central Conn St0.89638-2-0.4575NCAA Division I-AA
192Elon0.85563-81.5900NCAA Division I-AA
193San Diego0.84427-40.2096NCAA Division I-AA
194Samford0.83804-71.5598NCAA Division I-AA
195SE Missouri St0.73653-81.5137NCAA Division I-AA
196Chattanooga0.70202-92.0857NCAA Division I-AA
197Alcorn St0.56557-4-0.0999NCAA Division I-AA
198Ball St0.52882-92.6484NCAA Division I-A
199Tennessee St0.52864-70.9974NCAA Division I-AA
200Howard0.52356-50.5196NCAA Division I-AA
201Morgan St0.50395-60.4964NCAA Division I-AA
202Alabama A&M0.49417-4-0.2785NCAA Division I-AA
203Delaware St0.44294-71.1678NCAA Division I-AA
204Arkansas-Pine Bluff0.42586-3-0.9232NCAA Division I-AA
205Dayton0.40767-3-0.5509NCAA Division I-AA
206Western Michigan0.19151-102.7093NCAA Division I-A
207North Carolina A&T0.13793-81.0216NCAA Division I-AA
208Duquesne0.10647-3-1.1747NCAA Division I-AA
209Jackson St0.10624-70.5544NCAA Division I-AA
210Albany NY0.02884-70.6961NCAA Division I-AA
211Grambling St-0.01946-5-0.1823NCAA Division I-AA
212Columbia-0.04841-91.9085NCAA Division I-AA
213Tennessee-Martin-0.13982-90.8517NCAA Division I-AA
214Robert Morris-0.16026-5-0.5780NCAA Division I-AA
215Holy Cross-0.16573-81.1270NCAA Division I-AA
216Sacred Heart-0.17196-4-0.9833NCAA Division I-AA
217Charleston Southern-0.18785-5-0.5084NCAA Division I-AA
218Central Florida-0.20130-112.8994NCAA Division I-A
219Wagner-0.24876-5-0.7852NCAA Division I-AA
220Savannah St-0.57342-80.9224NCAA Division I-AA
221Dartmouth-0.60651-92.0079NCAA Division I-AA
222Stony Brook-0.83763-70.1450NCAA Division I-AA
223Norfolk St-0.92631-80.6394NCAA Division I-AA
224Georgetown DC-0.95203-80.5709NCAA Division I-AA
225Morehead St-0.99526-6-0.6823NCAA Division I-AA
226Mississippi Valley St-1.27863-8-0.3818NCAA Division I-AA
227St Francis PA-1.36753-8-0.5691NCAA Division I-AA
228Jacksonville FL-1.43843-7-0.2885NCAA Division I-AA
229Valparaiso-1.47445-6-0.7766NCAA Division I-AA
230Marist-1.51583-6-0.8766NCAA Division I-AA
231VMI-1.67990-111.8195NCAA Division I-AA
232Prairie View A&M-2.00083-8-0.7959NCAA Division I-AA
233Davidson-2.05752-7-0.5003NCAA Division I-AA
234Butler-2.14071-10-0.2676NCAA Division I-AA
235Austin Peay-2.16312-9-1.1065NCAA Division I-AA
236Texas Southern-3.26520-110.5670NCAA Division I-AA
237La Salle-3.35793-7-2.3099NCAA Division I-AA
238St Peter's-3.63283-7-1.7987NCAA Division I-AA
239Iona-4.00862-8-1.6775NCAA Division I-AA

Scores and division information taken from Peter R. Wolfe. All teams are used to calculate ratings, only Division I-A teams are shown. Bowl games are not used to calculate rankings. List of bowl games taken from Bassett. This model correctly predicts 14 of the 29 bowl games. Bassett correctly predicts 14 of 29.

The model only uses win/loss information. It ignores scores, but uses home/away information. Here's a writeup of the algorithm: