Jason Rennie's 2005 College Basketball Rankings

Home Court Advantage: 0.0522

To calculate the predicted winner of a future game, subtract the visitor's rating from the home team's rating and add the "home court advange" (unless the game is at a neutral site); if the result is positive, the model predicts the home team will win; if negative, the model predicts the visiting team will win.

Rank	Team	Rating	Record	SOS	Division
1	Illinois	1.8254	37-2	0.5226	NCAA I
2	North Carolina	1.6273	33-4	0.6338	NCAA I
3	Louisville	1.4261	31-5	0.4461	NCAA I
4	Wake Forest	1.3888	27-6	0.5496	NCAA I
5	Duke	1.3883	27-6	0.6279	NCAA I
6	Washington	1.3690	28-6	0.5897	NCAA I
7	Kentucky	1.3279	28-6	0.5397	NCAA I
8	Kansas	1.3043	23-7	0.7137	NCAA I
9	Arizona	1.2936	30-7	0.6183	NCAA I
10	Michigan St	1.2682	26-7	0.5299	NCAA I
11	Oklahoma St	1.2624	25-7	0.6329	NCAA I
12	Boston College	1.2519	25-5	0.4565	NCAA I
13	Wisconsin	1.1962	25-9	0.6398	NCAA I
14	Villanova	1.1579	24-8	0.5777	NCAA I
15	Connecticut	1.1292	23-8	0.5244	NCAA I
16	Gonzaga	1.1288	26-5	0.3332	NCAA I
17	Oklahoma	1.1247	25-8	0.4822	NCAA I
18	Florida	1.1229	24-8	0.5024	NCAA I
19	Syracuse	1.1122	27-7	0.3928	NCAA I
20	Cincinnati	1.0611	25-8	0.4118	NCAA I
21	Pacific CA	1.0378	27-4	0.0706	NCAA I
22	Utah	1.0233	27-6	0.2436	NCAA I
23	West Virginia	1.0168	24-11	0.5128	NCAA I
24	Alabama	1.0105	23-8	0.4742	NCAA I
25	Southern Illinois	0.9738	26-8	0.3875	NCAA I
26	Iowa	0.9380	21-12	0.5828	NCAA I
27	Texas Tech	0.9253	22-11	0.5310	NCAA I
28	LSU	0.9029	20-10	0.5105	NCAA I
29	Pittsburgh	0.8792	20-9	0.4167	NCAA I
30	Georgia Tech	0.8753	20-12	0.6273	NCAA I
31	Nevada	0.8698	24-7	0.2194	NCAA I
32	Mississippi St	0.8378	23-11	0.4269	NCAA I
33	North Carolina St	0.8294	21-14	0.5764	NCAA I
34	Charlotte	0.8143	21-8	0.2829	NCAA I
35	UW-Milwaukee	0.8100	25-6	0.0625	NCAA I
36	Creighton	0.8100	23-11	0.3130	NCAA I
37	UCLA	0.8024	18-11	0.5557	NCAA I
38	Minnesota	0.7932	21-11	0.4734	NCAA I
39	Old Dominion	0.7617	27-6	-0.1120	NCAA I
40	Wichita St	0.7472	22-10	0.3266	NCAA I
41	New Mexico	0.7467	25-7	0.0183	NCAA I
42	UTEP	0.7460	25-8	0.1129	NCAA I
43	Alabama-Birmingham	0.7409	22-11	0.3414	NCAA I
44	Stanford	0.7408	18-13	0.5819	NCAA I
45	St Mary's CA	0.7339	23-9	0.2555	NCAA I
46	Texas	0.7247	19-11	0.4725	NCAA I
47	Iowa St	0.7238	19-12	0.4681	NCAA I
48	South Carolina	0.7130	20-13	0.4981	NCAA I
49	Northern Iowa	0.7047	20-11	0.3571	NCAA I
50	Texas A&M	0.7016	19-10	0.3204	NCAA I
51	Vanderbilt	0.6810	20-14	0.5072	NCAA I
52	St Joseph's PA	0.6729	24-12	0.2456	NCAA I
53	Ohio State	0.6588	20-12	0.4577	NCAA I
54	Vermont	0.6547	25-7	-0.0041	NCAA I
55	Maryland	0.6531	18-13	0.5217	NCAA I
56	George Washington	0.6494	22-8	0.1047	NCAA I
57	Georgetown DC	0.6463	19-13	0.4457	NCAA I
58	Arizona St	0.6289	18-14	0.4807	NCAA I
59	DePaul	0.6208	20-11	0.3326	NCAA I
60	Buffalo	0.6006	23-10	0.2068	NCAA I
61	Miami FL	0.5892	16-13	0.4854	NCAA I
62	Utah St	0.5885	24-8	-0.0076	NCAA I
63	Ohio U.	0.5851	21-11	0.1784	NCAA I
64	Indiana	0.5808	15-14	0.6381	NCAA I
65	SW Missouri St	0.5806	19-13	0.3833	NCAA I
66	Kansas St	0.5753	16-12	0.4018	NCAA I
67	Miami OH	0.5747	18-11	0.3106	NCAA I
68	Oregon	0.5664	14-13	0.5551	NCAA I
69	Virginia	0.5664	14-15	0.6601	NCAA I
70	TCU	0.5632	20-13	0.2746	NCAA I
71	Notre Dame	0.5425	17-12	0.4136	NCAA I
72	Marquette	0.5294	19-12	0.2992	NCAA I
73	Memphis	0.5288	22-16	0.3742	NCAA I
74	Arkansas	0.5112	18-12	0.2889	NCAA I
75	Western Kentucky	0.4901	21-9	0.0446	NCAA I
76	Clemson	0.4862	16-16	0.5583	NCAA I
77	Davidson	0.4819	20-9	0.0696	NCAA I
78	Louisiana-Lafayette	0.4818	19-11	0.1943	NCAA I
79	Providence RI	0.4609	13-17	0.6311	NCAA I
80	Holy Cross	0.4606	25-7	-0.1906	NCAA I
81	UNLV	0.4554	16-14	0.3842	NCAA I
82	Missouri	0.4485	16-17	0.5956	NCAA I
83	Akron	0.4473	18-10	0.1802	NCAA I
84	Rice	0.4314	17-12	0.2471	NCAA I
85	Oregon St	0.4281	17-15	0.3914	NCAA I
86	Virginia Tech	0.4233	16-14	0.3576	NCAA I
87	Western Michigan	0.4226	19-13	0.2031	NCAA I
88	Bowling Green	0.4221	17-11	0.1638	NCAA I
89	Northwestern	0.4219	15-16	0.4964	NCAA I
90	Bucknell	0.4191	23-10	-0.0886	NCAA I
91	Colorado	0.3969	14-16	0.5019	NCAA I
92	Oral Roberts	0.3935	24-8	-0.1783	NCAA I
93	Temple	0.3912	16-14	0.3163	NCAA I
94	Kent St	0.3882	18-13	0.2895	NCAA I
95	Illinois St	0.3859	16-13	0.2753	NCAA I
96	Pennsylvania	0.3816	20-9	-0.0191	NCAA I
97	Winthrop	0.3815	24-6	-0.2699	NCAA I
98	Houston	0.3793	18-14	0.3024	NCAA I
99	San Francisco	0.3716	17-14	0.2870	NCAA I
100	Tennessee	0.3578	14-17	0.5514	NCAA I
101	Hofstra	0.3484	21-9	-0.1016	NCAA I
102	Arkansas-Little Rock	0.3470	15-10	0.1388	NCAA I
103	Dayton	0.3400	18-11	0.0690	NCAA I
104	California	0.3399	13-16	0.5125	NCAA I
105	Nebraska	0.3374	14-14	0.4006	NCAA I
106	Washington St	0.3248	12-16	0.5878	NCAA I
107	Toledo	0.3242	15-13	0.2757	NCAA I
108	Air Force	0.3200	17-12	0.1189	NCAA I
109	Northeastern	0.3191	21-10	-0.0666	NCAA I
110	San Diego	0.3169	14-13	0.2494	NCAA I
111	Southern Cal	0.3078	12-17	0.5499	NCAA I
112	Wyoming	0.3042	15-13	0.2565	NCAA I
113	CSU-Fullerton	0.3034	20-11	-0.0465	NCAA I
114	Ball St	0.2959	14-13	0.2609	NCAA I
115	Central Florida	0.2924	22-9	-0.2681	NCAA I
116	Xavier OH	0.2877	17-12	0.1471	NCAA I
117	Auburn	0.2870	14-17	0.4273	NCAA I
118	Massachusetts	0.2812	16-12	0.1523	NCAA I
119	Boston U.	0.2637	20-9	-0.1115	NCAA I
120	Mississippi	0.2597	14-17	0.3732	NCAA I
121	Seton Hall	0.2566	12-16	0.4531	NCAA I
122	Pepperdine	0.2562	16-14	0.2115	NCAA I
123	Niagara NY	0.2446	20-10	-0.1905	NCAA I
124	Denver	0.2440	20-11	-0.0512	NCAA I
125	Michigan	0.2421	13-18	0.4902	NCAA I
126	Hawai`i	0.2336	16-13	0.1627	NCAA I
127	Eastern Kentucky	0.2297	19-9	-0.2433	NCAA I
128	VA Commonwealth	0.2279	19-13	0.0324	NCAA I
129	Drake	0.2216	13-16	0.3445	NCAA I
130	Bradley	0.2055	13-15	0.3539	NCAA I
131	Middle Tennessee St	0.1924	17-12	-0.0058	NCAA I
132	UW-Green Bay	0.1914	17-11	-0.0491	NCAA I
133	UNC-Wilmington	0.1792	19-10	-0.1150	NCAA I
134	Chattanooga	0.1721	17-11	-0.0759	NCAA I
135	SE Louisiana St	0.1581	19-9	-0.2919	NCAA I
136	Santa Clara	0.1518	14-16	0.2619	NCAA I
137	Coll of Charleston	0.1440	18-10	-0.1569	NCAA I
138	CSU-Northridge	0.1424	17-13	-0.0073	NCAA I
139	Rutgers	0.1249	9-19	0.5966	NCAA I
140	Drexel	0.1225	17-12	0.0090	NCAA I
141	Florida St	0.1151	11-19	0.5987	NCAA I
142	SMU	0.1113	13-14	0.1722	NCAA I
143	Fresno St	0.1035	15-14	0.1082	NCAA I
144	Richmond	0.0994	14-15	0.2162	NCAA I
145	TAMU-Corpus Christi	0.0848	16-8	-0.3376	NCAA I
146	Purdue	0.0825	7-21	0.7068	NCAA I
147	St John's NY	0.0715	9-18	0.5223	NCAA I
148	Portland	0.0706	14-15	0.1702	NCAA I
149	Rider	0.0698	19-11	-0.2641	NCAA I
150	UNC-Greensboro	0.0695	15-12	-0.0391	NCAA I
151	Northwestern St	0.0572	17-12	-0.1192	NCAA I
152	Murray St	0.0562	15-11	-0.1112	NCAA I
153	Illinois-Chicago	0.0527	14-13	0.0494	NCAA I
154	Louisiana Tech	0.0516	14-15	0.1265	NCAA I
155	Princeton	0.0207	14-13	-0.0040	NCAA I
156	Tennessee Tech	0.0191	15-11	-0.2447	NCAA I
157	Wright St	0.0173	15-15	0.0227	NCAA I
158	South Florida	0.0128	13-16	0.2001	NCAA I
159	UMKC	0.0052	16-12	-0.2099	NCAA I
160	Detroit Mercy	-0.0179	13-16	0.1032	NCAA I
161	Georgia	-0.0258	8-20	0.4742	NCAA I
162	Indiana St	-0.0294	11-20	0.3636	NCAA I
163	Montana	-0.0365	16-13	-0.1503	NCAA I
164	San Diego St	-0.0374	10-18	0.3290	NCAA I
165	Gardner-Webb	-0.0402	16-12	-0.2157	NCAA I
166	UC-Irvine	-0.0428	15-13	-0.1003	NCAA I
167	George Mason	-0.0454	16-13	-0.0975	NCAA I
168	Loyola Marymount	-0.0569	11-17	0.2446	NCAA I
169	Evansville	-0.0575	11-17	0.2665	NCAA I
170	American U.	-0.0677	16-12	-0.2074	NCAA I
171	Delaware St	-0.0690	19-14	-0.2390	NCAA I
172	Portland St	-0.0719	17-9	-0.4232	NCAA I
173	IUPUI	-0.0781	14-13	-0.0977	NCAA I
174	Arkansas St	-0.0818	14-13	-0.0397	NCAA I
175	Appalachian St	-0.0824	15-12	-0.2134	NCAA I
176	Boise St	-0.0846	15-18	0.0359	NCAA I
177	North Texas	-0.0978	12-14	-0.0014	NCAA I
178	Sam Houston St	-0.1118	14-12	-0.1937	NCAA I
179	Fairleigh Dickinson	-0.1145	19-13	-0.3460	NCAA I
180	Fordham	-0.1178	13-16	0.0415	NCAA I
181	Georgia Southern	-0.1211	14-13	-0.1484	NCAA I
182	Valparaiso	-0.1225	15-16	-0.0327	NCAA I
183	Northern Illinois	-0.1240	11-17	0.2212	NCAA I
184	Lamar	-0.1282	14-11	-0.2421	NCAA I
185	St Louis	-0.1323	9-21	0.3843	NCAA I
186	Furman	-0.1349	12-13	-0.0703	NCAA I
187	Florida Int'l	-0.1553	12-17	0.1109	NCAA I
188	Loyola-Chicago	-0.1646	12-17	0.0663	NCAA I
189	St Peter's	-0.1652	15-13	-0.2330	NCAA I
190	New Orleans	-0.1685	12-17	0.0593	NCAA I
191	Colorado St	-0.1806	9-17	0.2252	NCAA I
192	East Carolina	-0.1813	7-19	0.4381	NCAA I
193	Binghamton	-0.1836	12-17	-0.0325	NCAA I
194	Fairfield	-0.1874	15-15	-0.1718	NCAA I
195	Manhattan	-0.1997	15-14	-0.1990	NCAA I
196	Georgia St	-0.2052	13-15	-0.0712	NCAA I
197	Brigham Young	-0.2132	7-21	0.4293	NCAA I
198	Eastern Michigan	-0.2185	11-18	0.0347	NCAA I
199	Mercer	-0.2325	14-12	-0.3003	NCAA I
200	Baylor	-0.2334	8-19	0.2690	NCAA I
201	Belmont	-0.2375	14-16	-0.1685	NCAA I
202	Oakland	-0.2413	13-19	0.0851	NCAA I
203	Maine	-0.2427	13-15	-0.1246	NCAA I
204	Monmouth NJ	-0.2444	16-13	-0.3951	NCAA I
205	Butler	-0.2481	12-15	-0.0557	NCAA I
206	Iona	-0.2486	15-16	-0.2054	NCAA I
207	Central Michigan	-0.2521	8-18	0.2155	NCAA I
208	South Carolina St	-0.2543	18-12	-0.4805	NCAA I
209	Tennessee St	-0.2593	12-17	-0.0287	NCAA I
210	SE Missouri St	-0.2605	12-14	-0.1427	NCAA I
211	Hampton	-0.2624	17-13	-0.4415	NCAA I
212	Liberty	-0.2661	12-15	-0.2234	NCAA I
213	Coppin St	-0.2681	14-15	-0.1685	NCAA I
214	UC-Santa Barbara	-0.2702	11-18	0.0307	NCAA I
215	La Salle	-0.2775	10-19	0.1218	NCAA I
216	Austin Peay	-0.2817	13-19	-0.0391	NCAA I
217	Birmingham-Southern	-0.2823	15-14	-0.3089	NCAA I
218	Wofford	-0.2840	10-14	-0.0890	NCAA I
219	Albany NY	-0.2915	13-15	-0.2045	NCAA I
220	Penn St	-0.2961	6-23	0.4980	NCAA I
221	Lipscomb	-0.2982	14-12	-0.3596	NCAA I
222	Jacksonville FL	-0.3017	14-13	-0.3050	NCAA I
223	Harvard	-0.3078	12-15	-0.1750	NCAA I
224	Texas-San Antonio	-0.3081	11-13	-0.1857	NCAA I
225	Cornell NY	-0.3241	12-14	-0.2560	NCAA I
226	Tulane	-0.3299	9-18	0.1352	NCAA I
227	Yale	-0.3359	11-16	-0.0431	NCAA I
228	Samford	-0.3528	13-13	-0.2833	NCAA I
229	Southern Miss	-0.3553	8-17	0.1807	NCAA I
230	Marshall	-0.3561	6-22	0.3462	NCAA I
231	Tulsa	-0.3683	9-20	0.1538	NCAA I
232	Stony Brook	-0.3761	12-17	-0.1880	NCAA I
233	Long Beach St	-0.3802	10-20	0.0297	NCAA I
234	Utah Valley St	-0.3832	14-12	-0.4806	NCAA I
235	Montana St	-0.3843	12-14	-0.3006	NCAA I
236	Delaware	-0.3851	11-20	-0.0432	NCAA I
237	Eastern Illinois	-0.3927	11-16	-0.1441	NCAA I
238	Brown	-0.3936	12-16	-0.2123	NCAA I
239	Charleston Southern	-0.3957	12-16	-0.2396	NCAA I
240	St Francis PA	-0.4016	14-13	-0.3957	NCAA I
241	UC-Davis	-0.4155	10-17	-0.1086	NCAA I
242	Weber St	-0.4169	13-16	-0.2756	NCAA I
243	Robert Morris PA	-0.4299	13-15	-0.3616	NCAA I
244	Grambling St	-0.4414	12-12	-0.5643	NCAA I
245	Southern Utah	-0.4507	11-15	-0.2187	NCAA I
246	Troy St	-0.4522	11-18	-0.1316	NCAA I
247	Duquesne	-0.4599	8-22	0.1241	NCAA I
248	South Alabama	-0.4615	7-18	0.0877	NCAA I
249	Alabama A&M	-0.4696	16-14	-0.5815	NCAA I
250	Lehigh	-0.4749	13-15	-0.3635	NCAA I
251	Western Illinois	-0.4834	9-17	-0.0606	NCAA I
252	Colgate	-0.4912	10-16	-0.2208	NCAA I
253	LIU-Brooklyn	-0.5129	13-15	-0.4248	NCAA I
254	Columbia NY	-0.5146	12-15	-0.3804	NCAA I
255	Chicago St	-0.5168	9-19	-0.0011	NCAA I
256	UNC-Asheville	-0.5170	9-17	-0.1228	NCAA I
257	Alabama St	-0.5207	15-15	-0.5078	NCAA I
258	Canisius	-0.5225	11-18	-0.2758	NCAA I
259	Florida Atlantic	-0.5244	10-17	-0.1543	NCAA I
260	Sacramento St	-0.5249	10-16	-0.2452	NCAA I
261	Cleveland St	-0.5291	7-17	0.0404	NCAA I
262	Florida A&M	-0.5321	14-15	-0.3433	NCAA I
263	McNeese St	-0.5333	9-15	-0.1970	NCAA I
264	Marist	-0.5343	11-17	-0.2302	NCAA I
265	High Point	-0.5441	11-17	-0.2754	NCAA I
266	UC-Riverside	-0.5446	8-19	-0.0433	NCAA I
267	Wagner	-0.5449	13-17	-0.3446	NCAA I
268	Dartmouth	-0.5506	9-17	-0.1631	NCAA I
269	San Jos� St	-0.5544	6-23	0.2108	NCAA I
270	MD-Baltimore County	-0.5609	10-18	-0.2289	NCAA I
271	Texas-Arlington	-0.5683	9-15	-0.2459	NCAA I
272	Texas St-San Marcos	-0.5737	10-14	-0.3565	NCAA I
273	Morgan St	-0.5776	14-16	-0.4862	NCAA I
274	Texas-Pan American	-0.5847	8-16	-0.1666	NCAA I
275	William & Mary	-0.5952	8-21	-0.0510	NCAA I
276	Rhode Island	-0.5973	6-22	0.0912	NCAA I
277	St Francis NY	-0.6023	13-15	-0.4783	NCAA I
278	Norfolk St	-0.6025	13-14	-0.5195	NCAA I
279	Central Connecticut St	-0.6140	12-16	-0.3809	NCAA I
280	Stetson	-0.6160	9-17	-0.1499	NCAA I
281	Radford	-0.6285	10-16	-0.3288	NCAA I
282	Mississippi Valley St	-0.6337	13-15	-0.5101	NCAA I
283	New Hampshire	-0.6347	8-19	-0.0789	NCAA I
284	The Citadel	-0.6350	8-16	-0.2386	NCAA I
285	Jackson St	-0.6376	14-17	-0.4698	NCAA I
286	East Tennessee St	-0.6403	7-19	-0.0391	NCAA I
287	Southern U.	-0.6523	12-15	-0.5329	NCAA I
288	Northern Arizona	-0.6668	9-17	-0.2726	NCAA I
289	Bethune-Cookman	-0.6690	13-17	-0.4815	NCAA I
290	Stephen F. Austin	-0.6726	9-15	-0.3886	NCAA I
291	Morehead St	-0.6732	8-16	-0.2204	NCAA I
292	Coastal Carolina	-0.6806	8-18	-0.2090	NCAA I
293	Idaho	-0.6933	7-21	0.0031	NCAA I
294	Lafayette	-0.6933	8-19	-0.1230	NCAA I
295	Eastern Washington	-0.7059	7-20	-0.0571	NCAA I
296	Elon	-0.7130	7-22	0.0075	NCAA I
297	Hartford	-0.7408	8-20	-0.1820	NCAA I
298	New Mexico St	-0.8169	4-24	0.1396	NCAA I
299	Texas Southern	-0.8221	10-15	-0.5992	NCAA I
300	Navy	-0.8450	8-18	-0.3474	NCAA I
301	James Madison	-0.8459	6-22	-0.0899	NCAA I
302	South Dakota St	-0.8512	1-12	0.1479	NCAA I
303	Western Carolina	-0.8564	5-22	-0.0091	NCAA I
304	IPFW	-0.8702	6-22	-0.1114	NCAA I
305	Siena	-0.8877	6-24	-0.1061	NCAA I
306	Towson	-0.8899	5-24	-0.0875	NCAA I
307	Idaho St	-0.8940	7-18	-0.3036	NCAA I
308	North Dakota St	-0.9340	0-8	0.1055	NCAA I
309	Quinnipiac	-0.9374	9-17	-0.4852	NCAA I
310	Tennessee-Martin	-0.9553	4-21	-0.1183	NCAA I
311	Cal Poly SLO	-0.9709	4-22	0.0037	NCAA I
312	Louisiana-Monroe	-0.9777	5-18	-0.2846	NCAA I
313	Loyola-Maryland	-1.0127	6-22	-0.2682	NCAA I
314	Northern Colorado	-1.0380	4-21	0.0191	NCAA I
315	St Bonaventure	-1.0493	2-26	0.0942	NCAA I
316	Youngstown St	-1.0506	3-23	-0.0260	NCAA I
317	VMI	-1.0621	7-18	-0.4263	NCAA I
318	Mt St Mary's MD	-1.0872	7-20	-0.5005	NCAA I
319	Jacksonville St	-1.0977	4-22	-0.2022	NCAA I
320	North Carolina A&T	-1.1239	6-24	-0.2793	NCAA I
321	Campbell	-1.1579	2-25	-0.1317	NCAA I
322	Centenary LA	-1.1740	2-24	-0.0844	NCAA I
323	Nicholls St	-1.1927	3-21	-0.2329	NCAA I
324	Prairie View A&M	-1.2401	5-23	-0.4068	NCAA I
325	Arkansas-Pine Bluff	-1.2543	5-21	-0.3853	NCAA I
326	Alcorn St	-1.2555	6-22	-0.4922	NCAA I
327	Howard	-1.2732	5-23	-0.4697	NCAA I
328	Sacred Heart	-1.2806	4-23	-0.3965	NCAA I
329	Army	-1.4466	1-24	-0.2591	NCAA I
330	MD-Eastern Shore	-1.4668	2-25	-0.4226	NCAA I
331	Savannah St	-1.4707	0-28	-0.2526	NCAA I
332	Longwood	-1.7313	1-29	-0.2405	NCAA I

Scores and division information taken from Peter R. Wolfe. Games through March 20, 2004. Only games between Division I-A teams are used to calculate ratings. The model uses win/loss and home court information. Margin of victory is ignored.

Kenneth Massey maintains a College Basketball Ranking Comparison.