Jason Rennie's 2005 College Basketball Rankings

Home Court Advantage: 0.0589

To calculate the predicted winner of a future game, subtract the visitor's rating from the home team's rating and add the "home court advange" (unless the game is at a neutral site); if the result is positive, the model predicts the home team will win; if negative, the model predicts the visiting team will win.

Rank	Team	Rating	Record	SOS	Division
1	Illinois	1.9909	32-1	0.4867	NCAA I
2	Wake Forest	1.5564	26-5	0.5911	NCAA I
3	Washington	1.5546	26-5	0.6824	NCAA I
4	North Carolina	1.5443	27-4	0.6255	NCAA I
5	Duke	1.5268	25-5	0.6630	NCAA I
6	Boston College	1.4276	24-4	0.4805	NCAA I
7	Kansas	1.4062	23-6	0.7705	NCAA I
8	Louisville	1.4030	27-4	0.3421	NCAA I
9	Arizona	1.3908	27-6	0.6680	NCAA I
10	Oklahoma St	1.3889	23-6	0.6968	NCAA I
11	Kentucky	1.3731	25-5	0.5047	NCAA I
12	Gonzaga	1.3281	25-4	0.3822	NCAA I
13	Oklahoma	1.3281	24-7	0.5356	NCAA I
14	Connecticut	1.2792	22-7	0.5776	NCAA I
15	Syracuse	1.2604	27-6	0.4222	NCAA I
16	Wisconsin	1.2482	22-8	0.6587	NCAA I
17	Michigan St	1.2348	22-6	0.4665	NCAA I
18	Florida	1.1988	23-7	0.4887	NCAA I
19	Villanova	1.1617	22-7	0.5546	NCAA I
20	Alabama	1.1246	23-7	0.4961	NCAA I
21	Cincinnati	1.1194	24-7	0.3795	NCAA I
22	Pacific CA	1.0804	26-3	0.0036	NCAA I
23	Southern Illinois	1.0588	25-7	0.4045	NCAA I
24	Iowa	1.0568	21-11	0.6120	NCAA I
25	Utah	1.0514	25-5	0.1987	NCAA I
26	West Virginia	0.9951	21-10	0.4763	NCAA I
27	LSU	0.9938	20-9	0.5264	NCAA I
28	Texas Tech	0.9938	20-10	0.5531	NCAA I
29	Pittsburgh	0.9784	20-8	0.4096	NCAA I
30	UCLA	0.9727	18-10	0.6537	NCAA I
31	Georgia Tech	0.9520	19-11	0.6468	NCAA I
32	Charlotte	0.9295	21-7	0.2645	NCAA I
33	Minnesota	0.9281	21-10	0.5157	NCAA I
34	Creighton	0.9223	23-10	0.3415	NCAA I
35	Stanford	0.9105	18-12	0.6766	NCAA I
36	Nevada	0.8753	23-6	0.1699	NCAA I
37	Texas	0.8750	19-10	0.5148	NCAA I
38	Mississippi St	0.8740	22-10	0.4107	NCAA I
39	New Mexico	0.8600	25-6	-0.0017	NCAA I
40	St Mary's CA	0.8596	23-8	0.2894	NCAA I
41	UTEP	0.8312	25-7	0.1015	NCAA I
42	Old Dominion	0.8295	27-5	-0.1678	NCAA I
43	North Carolina St	0.8217	19-13	0.5713	NCAA I
44	Wichita St	0.8101	20-9	0.3636	NCAA I
45	Northern Iowa	0.7931	20-10	0.3757	NCAA I
46	Arizona St	0.7794	18-13	0.5706	NCAA I
47	Texas A&M	0.7662	17-9	0.3379	NCAA I
48	Alabama-Birmingham	0.7549	21-10	0.3075	NCAA I
49	Iowa St	0.7463	18-11	0.4701	NCAA I
50	UW-Milwaukee	0.7309	23-5	-0.0835	NCAA I
51	George Washington	0.7137	22-7	0.0510	NCAA I
52	Georgetown DC	0.7126	17-12	0.4956	NCAA I
53	Ohio State	0.7122	20-12	0.5011	NCAA I
54	Miami FL	0.7052	16-12	0.5099	NCAA I
55	Oregon	0.6973	14-13	0.6648	NCAA I
56	Indiana	0.6964	15-13	0.7017	NCAA I
57	Notre Dame	0.6886	17-11	0.4578	NCAA I
58	Miami OH	0.6880	18-10	0.3601	NCAA I
59	Vanderbilt	0.6815	18-13	0.5190	NCAA I
60	Buffalo	0.6800	22-9	0.2446	NCAA I
61	Ohio U.	0.6763	21-10	0.1929	NCAA I
62	SW Missouri St	0.6737	18-12	0.4428	NCAA I
63	Kansas St	0.6612	16-12	0.4602	NCAA I
64	DePaul	0.6559	19-10	0.3334	NCAA I
65	Maryland	0.6462	16-12	0.5503	NCAA I
66	Virginia	0.6254	14-15	0.7046	NCAA I
67	Utah St	0.6243	24-7	-0.0557	NCAA I
68	Oregon St	0.6182	17-14	0.4816	NCAA I
69	Vermont	0.6156	24-6	-0.1181	NCAA I
70	Marquette	0.5947	19-11	0.2983	NCAA I
71	Clemson	0.5865	16-15	0.5721	NCAA I
72	Missouri	0.5511	16-16	0.6673	NCAA I
73	South Carolina	0.5507	15-13	0.5083	NCAA I
74	Arkansas	0.5447	18-12	0.3075	NCAA I
75	St Joseph's PA	0.5190	19-11	0.1818	NCAA I
76	Providence RI	0.5186	13-17	0.6802	NCAA I
77	Louisiana-Lafayette	0.5140	19-10	0.1738	NCAA I
78	UNLV	0.5140	15-13	0.4232	NCAA I
79	Rice	0.5086	17-11	0.2660	NCAA I
80	Western Kentucky	0.4994	20-8	0.0205	NCAA I
81	Kent St	0.4973	18-12	0.3431	NCAA I
82	TCU	0.4898	18-13	0.2573	NCAA I
83	Akron	0.4889	18-10	0.2293	NCAA I
84	Bowling Green	0.4864	17-11	0.2124	NCAA I
85	Virginia Tech	0.4782	15-13	0.3704	NCAA I
86	Colorado	0.4714	14-16	0.5708	NCAA I
87	Western Michigan	0.4707	18-12	0.2327	NCAA I
88	Memphis	0.4685	19-15	0.3727	NCAA I
89	Northwestern	0.4581	15-16	0.5502	NCAA I
90	San Francisco	0.4555	16-13	0.3468	NCAA I
91	Illinois St	0.4513	16-13	0.3287	NCAA I
92	Washington St	0.4435	12-16	0.7109	NCAA I
93	Oral Roberts	0.4378	24-7	-0.2076	NCAA I
94	Temple	0.4376	16-13	0.3124	NCAA I
95	California	0.4365	13-16	0.6188	NCAA I
96	Holy Cross	0.4363	24-6	-0.2963	NCAA I
97	Davidson	0.4344	18-8	0.0102	NCAA I
98	Southern Cal	0.4296	12-17	0.6480	NCAA I
99	Houston	0.4212	18-13	0.2969	NCAA I
100	Nebraska	0.4158	14-14	0.4537	NCAA I
101	San Diego	0.4131	14-13	0.3249	NCAA I
102	Hofstra	0.4009	21-8	-0.1331	NCAA I
103	Tennessee	0.3823	14-17	0.5697	NCAA I
104	Toledo	0.3817	15-13	0.3281	NCAA I
105	Arkansas-Little Rock	0.3799	15-10	0.1565	NCAA I
106	Air Force	0.3733	17-12	0.1454	NCAA I
107	Pennsylvania	0.3700	20-8	-0.0983	NCAA I
108	Winthrop	0.3675	24-5	-0.3501	NCAA I
109	Ball St	0.3565	14-13	0.3188	NCAA I
110	Wyoming	0.3540	15-13	0.3044	NCAA I
111	Dayton	0.3463	18-11	0.0588	NCAA I
112	Pepperdine	0.3366	16-14	0.2729	NCAA I
113	Auburn	0.3342	14-17	0.4544	NCAA I
114	Bucknell	0.3303	22-9	-0.2341	NCAA I
115	Northeastern	0.3293	21-9	-0.1149	NCAA I
116	Denver	0.3273	20-10	-0.0633	NCAA I
117	Mississippi	0.2939	14-17	0.3867	NCAA I
118	Seton Hall	0.2893	12-16	0.4896	NCAA I
119	Xavier OH	0.2867	17-12	0.1485	NCAA I
120	Drake	0.2843	13-16	0.4016	NCAA I
121	Central Florida	0.2800	22-8	-0.3453	NCAA I
122	Michigan	0.2780	13-18	0.5391	NCAA I
123	Massachusetts	0.2764	16-12	0.1534	NCAA I
124	VA Commonwealth	0.2707	19-12	0.0213	NCAA I
125	Boston U.	0.2615	20-8	-0.1656	NCAA I
126	Bradley	0.2600	13-15	0.4126	NCAA I
127	Hawai`i	0.2552	16-13	0.1932	NCAA I
128	CSU-Fullerton	0.2417	18-10	-0.1040	NCAA I
129	Santa Clara	0.2225	14-16	0.3226	NCAA I
130	Eastern Kentucky	0.2191	19-8	-0.3354	NCAA I
131	Niagara NY	0.2150	20-9	-0.2840	NCAA I
132	Middle Tennessee St	0.2034	17-12	-0.0005	NCAA I
133	UW-Green Bay	0.1948	17-11	-0.0604	NCAA I
134	UNC-Wilmington	0.1906	19-10	-0.1199	NCAA I
135	Chattanooga	0.1692	17-10	-0.1434	NCAA I
136	Drexel	0.1573	17-11	-0.0190	NCAA I
137	Rutgers	0.1535	9-19	0.6677	NCAA I
138	Florida St	0.1514	11-19	0.6435	NCAA I
139	CSU-Northridge	0.1426	17-13	-0.0056	NCAA I
140	SMU	0.1397	13-14	0.1993	NCAA I
141	Purdue	0.1377	7-21	0.7698	NCAA I
142	Fresno St	0.1364	15-14	0.1374	NCAA I
143	Portland	0.1360	14-15	0.2373	NCAA I
144	SE Louisiana St	0.1332	19-8	-0.3897	NCAA I
145	Coll of Charleston	0.1243	18-10	-0.1760	NCAA I
146	TAMU-Corpus Christi	0.0963	16-8	-0.3602	NCAA I
147	Richmond	0.0942	14-15	0.2232	NCAA I
148	St John's NY	0.0847	9-18	0.5683	NCAA I
149	Louisiana Tech	0.0660	14-15	0.1423	NCAA I
150	UNC-Greensboro	0.0587	15-12	-0.0435	NCAA I
151	Murray St	0.0572	15-11	-0.1161	NCAA I
152	Illinois-Chicago	0.0507	14-13	0.0505	NCAA I
153	Northwestern St	0.0300	17-12	-0.1376	NCAA I
154	Indiana St	0.0267	11-20	0.4265	NCAA I
155	Wright St	0.0197	15-15	0.0242	NCAA I
156	Rider	0.0155	19-11	-0.3140	NCAA I
157	San Diego St	0.0116	10-18	0.3817	NCAA I
158	UMKC	0.0111	16-12	-0.2178	NCAA I
159	Tennessee Tech	0.0067	15-11	-0.2620	NCAA I
160	Princeton	-0.0031	14-13	-0.0227	NCAA I
161	Loyola Marymount	-0.0063	11-17	0.3124	NCAA I
162	South Florida	-0.0102	13-16	0.1880	NCAA I
163	Detroit Mercy	-0.0113	13-16	0.1086	NCAA I
164	Evansville	-0.0138	11-17	0.3192	NCAA I
165	Georgia	-0.0289	8-20	0.4889	NCAA I
166	Montana	-0.0296	16-12	-0.1914	NCAA I
167	UC-Irvine	-0.0402	15-13	-0.0939	NCAA I
168	Gardner-Webb	-0.0580	16-12	-0.2369	NCAA I
169	Boise St	-0.0609	15-18	0.0607	NCAA I
170	George Mason	-0.0653	16-13	-0.1091	NCAA I
171	IUPUI	-0.0676	14-13	-0.0956	NCAA I
172	Northern Illinois	-0.0753	11-17	0.2737	NCAA I
173	Arkansas St	-0.0789	14-13	-0.0376	NCAA I
174	Portland St	-0.0833	17-9	-0.4389	NCAA I
175	North Texas	-0.1012	12-14	0.0076	NCAA I
176	Appalachian St	-0.1059	15-12	-0.2446	NCAA I
177	Delaware St	-0.1067	19-13	-0.3454	NCAA I
178	Valparaiso	-0.1092	15-16	-0.0193	NCAA I
179	American U.	-0.1208	16-12	-0.2575	NCAA I
180	Georgia Southern	-0.1343	14-13	-0.1679	NCAA I
181	St Louis	-0.1373	9-21	0.4030	NCAA I
182	Sam Houston St	-0.1510	14-12	-0.2212	NCAA I
183	Furman	-0.1512	12-13	-0.0788	NCAA I
184	Colorado St	-0.1512	9-17	0.2696	NCAA I
185	Fordham	-0.1529	13-16	0.0177	NCAA I
186	Fairleigh Dickinson	-0.1534	19-12	-0.4686	NCAA I
187	Florida Int'l	-0.1535	12-17	0.1282	NCAA I
188	Brigham Young	-0.1614	7-21	0.4883	NCAA I
189	Lamar	-0.1633	14-11	-0.2715	NCAA I
190	Loyola-Chicago	-0.1741	12-17	0.0650	NCAA I
191	New Orleans	-0.1759	12-17	0.0705	NCAA I
192	Eastern Michigan	-0.1893	11-18	0.0682	NCAA I
193	East Carolina	-0.1940	7-19	0.4574	NCAA I
194	Baylor	-0.2013	8-19	0.3114	NCAA I
195	Central Michigan	-0.2045	8-18	0.2726	NCAA I
196	Binghamton	-0.2051	12-17	-0.0478	NCAA I
197	St Peter's	-0.2228	15-13	-0.2827	NCAA I
198	Fairfield	-0.2398	15-15	-0.2168	NCAA I
199	Georgia St	-0.2405	13-15	-0.0844	NCAA I
200	Butler	-0.2573	12-15	-0.0557	NCAA I
201	Manhattan	-0.2607	15-14	-0.2438	NCAA I
202	Belmont	-0.2656	14-16	-0.1873	NCAA I
203	Mercer	-0.2657	14-12	-0.3361	NCAA I
204	UC-Santa Barbara	-0.2755	11-18	0.0396	NCAA I
205	Penn St	-0.2773	6-23	0.5428	NCAA I
206	Oakland	-0.2784	12-18	0.0669	NCAA I
207	Maine	-0.2800	13-15	-0.1490	NCAA I
208	SE Missouri St	-0.2801	12-14	-0.1512	NCAA I
209	Tennessee St	-0.2862	12-17	-0.0375	NCAA I
210	Liberty	-0.2961	12-15	-0.2493	NCAA I
211	La Salle	-0.2964	10-19	0.1172	NCAA I
212	Iona	-0.2997	15-16	-0.2463	NCAA I
213	Austin Peay	-0.3016	13-19	-0.0505	NCAA I
214	Marshall	-0.3037	6-22	0.4027	NCAA I
215	Monmouth NJ	-0.3048	16-13	-0.4517	NCAA I
216	Wofford	-0.3174	10-14	-0.1098	NCAA I
217	Hampton	-0.3186	17-13	-0.5047	NCAA I
218	Birmingham-Southern	-0.3260	15-14	-0.3435	NCAA I
219	South Carolina St	-0.3304	18-12	-0.5578	NCAA I
220	Jacksonville FL	-0.3370	14-13	-0.3384	NCAA I
221	Lipscomb	-0.3383	14-12	-0.3948	NCAA I
222	Albany NY	-0.3388	13-15	-0.2401	NCAA I
223	Harvard	-0.3492	12-15	-0.2088	NCAA I
224	Coppin St	-0.3505	14-15	-0.2104	NCAA I
225	Texas-San Antonio	-0.3530	11-13	-0.2077	NCAA I
226	Tulsa	-0.3664	9-20	0.1818	NCAA I
227	Cornell NY	-0.3786	12-14	-0.2994	NCAA I
228	Tulane	-0.3806	9-18	0.1209	NCAA I
229	Southern Miss	-0.3839	8-17	0.1756	NCAA I
230	Samford	-0.3851	13-13	-0.3022	NCAA I
231	Long Beach St	-0.3860	10-20	0.0460	NCAA I
232	Montana St	-0.3868	12-14	-0.2993	NCAA I
233	Delaware	-0.3972	11-20	-0.0389	NCAA I
234	Yale	-0.4010	11-16	-0.0613	NCAA I
235	Utah Valley St	-0.4050	14-12	-0.5073	NCAA I
236	Eastern Illinois	-0.4102	11-16	-0.1453	NCAA I
237	Stony Brook	-0.4138	12-17	-0.2212	NCAA I
238	Brown	-0.4333	12-16	-0.2458	NCAA I
239	Weber St	-0.4351	13-16	-0.2818	NCAA I
240	Charleston Southern	-0.4367	12-16	-0.2642	NCAA I
241	UC-Davis	-0.4536	10-17	-0.1259	NCAA I
242	South Alabama	-0.4556	7-18	0.1027	NCAA I
243	Southern Utah	-0.4585	11-15	-0.2158	NCAA I
244	Troy St	-0.4863	11-18	-0.1452	NCAA I
245	Duquesne	-0.4898	8-22	0.1255	NCAA I
246	Western Illinois	-0.4943	9-17	-0.0372	NCAA I
247	St Francis PA	-0.5003	14-13	-0.4507	NCAA I
248	Robert Morris PA	-0.5087	13-15	-0.4179	NCAA I
249	Alabama A&M	-0.5223	16-13	-0.6678	NCAA I
250	Grambling St	-0.5238	12-12	-0.6339	NCAA I
251	Chicago St	-0.5273	9-19	0.0168	NCAA I
252	Sacramento St	-0.5375	10-16	-0.2365	NCAA I
253	Lehigh	-0.5443	13-15	-0.4252	NCAA I
254	San Jos� St	-0.5446	6-23	0.2486	NCAA I
255	Cleveland St	-0.5495	7-17	0.0317	NCAA I
256	Colgate	-0.5600	10-16	-0.2661	NCAA I
257	UNC-Asheville	-0.5620	9-17	-0.1407	NCAA I
258	UC-Riverside	-0.5645	8-19	-0.0360	NCAA I
259	Columbia NY	-0.5726	12-15	-0.4336	NCAA I
260	Florida Atlantic	-0.5731	10-17	-0.1699	NCAA I
261	Canisius	-0.5797	11-18	-0.3231	NCAA I
262	McNeese St	-0.5848	9-15	-0.2265	NCAA I
263	High Point	-0.5907	11-17	-0.2972	NCAA I
264	LIU-Brooklyn	-0.5945	13-15	-0.4781	NCAA I
265	Marist	-0.6035	11-17	-0.2740	NCAA I
266	Dartmouth	-0.6100	9-17	-0.1951	NCAA I
267	Alabama St	-0.6110	15-15	-0.5661	NCAA I
268	MD-Baltimore County	-0.6175	10-18	-0.2688	NCAA I
269	Wagner	-0.6192	13-17	-0.3989	NCAA I
270	William & Mary	-0.6239	8-21	-0.0604	NCAA I
271	Rhode Island	-0.6301	6-22	0.0750	NCAA I
272	Texas-Arlington	-0.6311	9-15	-0.2728	NCAA I
273	Texas St-San Marcos	-0.6369	10-14	-0.3968	NCAA I
274	Texas-Pan American	-0.6409	8-16	-0.1763	NCAA I
275	Florida A&M	-0.6472	14-15	-0.4074	NCAA I
276	Stetson	-0.6558	9-17	-0.1645	NCAA I
277	East Tennessee St	-0.6676	7-19	-0.0443	NCAA I
278	Morgan St	-0.6752	14-16	-0.5566	NCAA I
279	St Francis NY	-0.6838	13-15	-0.5435	NCAA I
280	New Hampshire	-0.6962	8-19	-0.1030	NCAA I
281	The Citadel	-0.6976	8-16	-0.2704	NCAA I
282	Radford	-0.6988	10-16	-0.3646	NCAA I
283	Central Connecticut St	-0.7011	12-16	-0.4304	NCAA I
284	Northern Arizona	-0.7015	9-17	-0.2774	NCAA I
285	Norfolk St	-0.7107	13-14	-0.5900	NCAA I
286	Idaho	-0.7119	7-21	0.0161	NCAA I
287	Mississippi Valley St	-0.7158	13-15	-0.5658	NCAA I
288	Coastal Carolina	-0.7216	8-18	-0.2327	NCAA I
289	Jackson St	-0.7246	14-17	-0.5250	NCAA I
290	Morehead St	-0.7258	8-16	-0.2479	NCAA I
291	Eastern Washington	-0.7327	7-20	-0.0342	NCAA I
292	Southern U.	-0.7419	12-15	-0.5928	NCAA I
293	Stephen F. Austin	-0.7445	9-15	-0.4433	NCAA I
294	Elon	-0.7492	7-22	0.0058	NCAA I
295	Bethune-Cookman	-0.7759	13-17	-0.5473	NCAA I
296	Lafayette	-0.7833	8-19	-0.1730	NCAA I
297	Hartford	-0.8054	8-20	-0.2175	NCAA I
298	New Mexico St	-0.8592	4-24	0.1642	NCAA I
299	South Dakota St	-0.8997	1-12	0.1601	NCAA I
300	Western Carolina	-0.9064	5-22	-0.0187	NCAA I
301	James Madison	-0.9164	6-22	-0.0954	NCAA I
302	Idaho St	-0.9205	7-18	-0.3024	NCAA I
303	Texas Southern	-0.9250	10-15	-0.6659	NCAA I
304	IPFW	-0.9296	6-22	-0.1068	NCAA I
305	Navy	-0.9362	8-18	-0.4045	NCAA I
306	Towson	-0.9658	5-24	-0.0951	NCAA I
307	Siena	-0.9696	6-24	-0.1346	NCAA I
308	Tennessee-Martin	-1.0047	4-21	-0.1231	NCAA I
309	Cal Poly SLO	-1.0117	4-22	0.0073	NCAA I
310	Quinnipiac	-1.0459	9-17	-0.5498	NCAA I
311	North Dakota St	-1.0466	0-8	0.1191	NCAA I
312	Louisiana-Monroe	-1.0640	5-18	-0.3167	NCAA I
313	Loyola-Maryland	-1.1013	6-22	-0.3143	NCAA I
314	Youngstown St	-1.1220	3-23	-0.0355	NCAA I
315	St Bonaventure	-1.1314	2-26	0.0789	NCAA I
316	Northern Colorado	-1.1343	4-21	0.0324	NCAA I
317	VMI	-1.1449	7-18	-0.4704	NCAA I
318	Jacksonville St	-1.1686	4-22	-0.2249	NCAA I
319	Mt St Mary's MD	-1.1892	7-20	-0.5672	NCAA I
320	Campbell	-1.2281	2-25	-0.1551	NCAA I
321	North Carolina A&T	-1.2439	6-24	-0.3310	NCAA I
322	Centenary LA	-1.2480	2-24	-0.0765	NCAA I
323	Nicholls St	-1.3035	3-21	-0.2748	NCAA I
324	Prairie View A&M	-1.3515	5-23	-0.4584	NCAA I
325	Alcorn St	-1.3641	6-22	-0.5462	NCAA I
326	Arkansas-Pine Bluff	-1.3830	5-21	-0.4305	NCAA I
327	Sacred Heart	-1.3966	4-23	-0.4511	NCAA I
328	Howard	-1.4371	5-23	-0.5437	NCAA I
329	Army	-1.5838	1-24	-0.3119	NCAA I
330	MD-Eastern Shore	-1.6182	2-25	-0.4919	NCAA I
331	Savannah St	-1.6306	0-28	-0.2982	NCAA I
332	Longwood	-1.9026	1-29	-0.2624	NCAA I

Scores and division information taken from Peter R. Wolfe. Games through March 13, 2004. Only games between Division I-A teams are used to calculate ratings. The model uses win/loss and home court information. Margin of victory is ignored.

Kenneth Massey maintains a College Basketball Ranking Comparison.